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Box Office Predictions: Fast & Furious 6 Could Go 3 For 3

Posted by Perri Nemiroff On June - 6 - 2013 0 Comment

After two weekends of underperforming new releases, “Man of Steel” should be in excellent shape. Last weekend neither “Now You See Me” nor “After Earth” earned enough to trump “Fast & Furious 6” and that could be the case this time around too with both “The Internship” and “The Purge” heading towards subpar starts. “The Internship” should be in better shape than Vince Vaughn’s summer 2012 release, “The Watch,” but not by much, probably only matching “Friends with Benefits” with about $18 million. As for “The Purge,” it’s had one heck of a promotional push, but it’s just not the right time for a horror film. It’ll likely wind up finding itself right between “Orphan” and “The Strangers” with a $15 million weekend one haul.

As expected, “Fast & Furious 6” took a massive weekend one to two hit, but should it keep up with “Fast Five,” that percent change will come down drastically. If “Fast & Furious 6” only loses 45% from weekend two to three, it’ll take $20 million and the #1 spot yet again. Considering “Now You See Me” began its run with a $10,034 per theater average and “After Earth” only posted $8,092, “Now You See Me” is bound to be the one with the longer legs. Should it dip 45%, it’ll take another $16 million while “After Earth” will be left with just $13 million courtesy of a 50% cut.

Considering “Star Trek Into Darkness,” “Epic,” and “The Hangover Part III” were all neck and neck last weekend, it might come down to theater counts this time around. “Star Trek Into Darkness” is losing the most, so it could be in for the bigger decline. Should it drop 50% from weekend three to four, it’ll take just $8 million. “The Hangover Part III” is only losing 22 more theaters than “Epic,” but considering it’s seen the harsher decline thus far, it’s poised to drop 45% while “Epic” might lose just 40%, giving the former $9 million and 7th spot and the latter $10 million at the 6th spot.

With such significant leads on the rest of the competition last weekend, “Iron Man 3” and “The Great Gatsby” are bound to wrap up the top ten. Should both take a 45% hit, “Iron Man 3” will post another $4.5 million and “Gatsby” about $3.5 million. Predictions

1. Fast & Furious 6

2. The Internship

3. Now You See Me

4. The Purge

5. After Earth

6. Epic

7. The Hangover Part III

8. Star Trek Into Darkness

9. Iron Man

10. The Great Gatsby

By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)

Paul Walker in Fast & Furious 6

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