{"id":136617,"date":"2013-12-05T11:39:02","date_gmt":"2013-12-05T18:39:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/?p=136617"},"modified":"2013-12-05T11:40:28","modified_gmt":"2013-12-05T18:40:28","slug":"box-office-predictions-catching-fire-could-go-three-for-three","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/2013\/12\/05\/box-office-predictions-catching-fire-could-go-three-for-three\/","title":{"rendered":"Box Office Predictions: Catching Fire Could Go Three For Three"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It looks like both \u201cThe Hunger Games: Catching Fire\u201d and \u201cFrozen\u201d could be heading towards another big weekend because not only do the two have the potential to show off some seriously long legs, but there are no new big releases to get in their way. <\/p>\n<p>Considering \u201c<strong>Catching Fire<\/strong>\u201d only dipped 53.1% from weekend one to two, it\u2019s unlikely it\u2019ll lose much more than that this time around. Should the powerhouse sequel maintain that percent change, it\u2019ll hold on to the top spot and put another $35 million in the bank. As for &#8220;<strong>Frozen<\/strong>,&#8221; between the lack of family-friendly competition and the abundance of holiday excitement, it could manage to retain 50% of its opening profits. Should that be the case, it will significantly close the gap but will still come in just behind \u201cHunger Games\u201d with $33 million.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c<strong>Thor: The Dark World<\/strong>\u201d should have no trouble holding on to #3 either. Having posted $11.1 million for its fourth weekend out, it doesn\u2019t have all that far to fall in weekend five so will likely retain 70% of its profits for an $8 million haul. And here\u2019s where newcomer \u201c<strong>Out of the Furnace<\/strong>\u201d could slip in. It\u2019s only opening in 2,000 theaters and hasn\u2019t gotten the biggest promotional push, but considering the cast and Oscar-buzz, it should accumulate a sizable profit. Should it post a modest $4,000 per theater, it\u2019ll kick off its run with just about $8 million.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c<strong>The Best Man Holiday<\/strong>\u201d managed to bring that 58.5% weekend one to two dip down to 34.6% and will likely keep the number low moving through weekend four, but that certainly won\u2019t be the case when \u201cA Madea Christmas\u201d arrives in weekend five. However, before that possible landslide decline, \u201cThe Best Man Holiday\u201d could hold on to 60% of last weekend\u2019s intake and cash in another $5 million. <\/p>\n<p>Considering \u201c<strong>Homefront<\/strong>\u201d opened with a disappointing $2,691 per theater average and \u201c<strong>Delivery Man<\/strong>\u201d is just behind with $2,252 but for its second weekend out, the two will likely swap places. Should \u201cHomefront\u2019s\u201d opening earnings get slashed in half, it\u2019ll come in with about $3.5 million whereas \u201cDelivery Man\u201d will probably drop just 40% and claim another $4 million.<\/p>\n<p>As expected, \u201c<strong>The Book Thief<\/strong>\u201d got a nice boost from the additional 1,164 theaters, but the more important thing to note is the film\u2019s solid $3,942 per theater average. Even if that number drops to $2,700, the film will still take another $3.3 million and come in right behind \u201cHomefront.\u201d \u201c<strong>Philomena<\/strong>\u201d will find itself in a similar position. After tacking on an additional 831 theaters, \u201cPhilomena\u201d rode through its second weekend out with a $4,402 per theater average. If it drops just 30% making the move into weekend three, it\u2019ll have no trouble locking in #9 with close to $2.6 million.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c<strong>Black Nativity<\/strong>,\u201d on the other hand, is in an entirely different situation. Even though \u201c<strong>Last Vegas<\/strong>\u201d was nearly $1 million behind last weekend, \u201cBlack Nativity\u201d only posted $2,421 per theater for its first weekend out. Considering \u201cLast Vegas\u201d has held on exceptionally well and isn\u2019t due to lose any more locations in its sixth weekend out, there\u2019s a chance that \u201cBlack Nativity\u201d could fall fast enough to miss out on another weekend in the top ten. Should \u201cBlack Nativity\u2019s\u201d opening profits get slashed in half and \u201cLast Vegas\u201d drop just 30%, \u201cLast Vegas\u201d will beat \u201cBlack Nativity\u2019s\u201d $1.84 million with $1.88 million of its own.<\/p>\n<p><B>ShockYa Predictions<\/p>\n<p>1. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire<\/p>\n<p>2. Frozen<\/p>\n<p>3. Thor: The Dark World<\/p>\n<p>4. Out of the Furnace<\/p>\n<p>5. Best Man Holiday<\/p>\n<p>6. Delivery Man<\/p>\n<p>7. Homefront<\/p>\n<p>8. The Book Thief<\/p>\n<p>9. Philomena<\/p>\n<p>10. Last Vegas<\/B><\/p>\n<p>By <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PNemiroff\" target=\"_blank\">Perri Nemiroff<\/a> (via <a href=\"http:\/\/boxofficemojo.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Box Office Mojo<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/The_Hunger_Games_Catching_Fire1.jpg\" alt=\"The Hunger Games: Catching Fire\" title=\"The_Hunger_Games_Catching_Fire\" width=\"600\" height=\"400\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-136618\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/The_Hunger_Games_Catching_Fire1.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/The_Hunger_Games_Catching_Fire1-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It looks like both \u201cThe Hunger Games: Catching Fire\u201d and \u201cFrozen\u201d could be heading towards another big weekend because not only do the two have the potential to show off some seriously long legs, but there are no new big releases to get in their way. Considering \u201cCatching Fire\u201d only dipped 53.1% from weekend one [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":136619,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,1],"tags":[32991,11851,14539,31222,11324,13851,25435,33135,33143,32306,25671,26253],"class_list":["post-136617","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-movies","category-news-release","tag-best-man-holiday","tag-box-office","tag-box-office-predictions","tag-delivery-man","tag-frozen","tag-homefront","tag-last-vegas","tag-out-of-the-furnace","tag-philomena","tag-the-book-thief","tag-the-hunger-games-catching-fire","tag-thor-the-dark-world"],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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