{"id":39390,"date":"2011-01-06T20:52:22","date_gmt":"2011-01-07T03:52:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/?p=39390"},"modified":"2011-01-06T20:55:29","modified_gmt":"2011-01-07T03:55:29","slug":"box-office-forecast-true-grit-could-finally-come-out-on-top","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/2011\/01\/06\/box-office-forecast-true-grit-could-finally-come-out-on-top\/","title":{"rendered":"Box Office Forecast: True Grit Could Finally Come Out On Top"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--StartFragment--><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">It doesn&#8217;t look as though the year will start off with a bang considering <em>Season of the Witch<\/em> is the sole new wide release. If that one starts off anything like Cage&#8217;s last supernatural film, <em>The Sorcerer&#8217;s Apprentice<\/em>, we&#8217;re looking at a mere $17 million opening. However, that film had the benefit of a few other notable names like Jay Baruchel and Alfred Molina, whereas with <em>Season of the Witch<\/em>, Cage is the main draw. On top of that, <em>The Sorcerer&#8217;s Apprentice<\/em> opened with a theater count of 3,504 while <em>Season of the Witch<\/em> is getting just 2,816. On the bright side, <em>Season of the Witch<\/em> is opening unopposed, so perhaps the lack of options will boost the draw. Considering all of these factors, <em>Season of the Witch<\/em> looks as if it\u2019ll post about $13 million this weekend.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">The only other new film we\u2019ll see creep into the top ten is <em>Country Strong<\/em>. That one hit 2 theaters on Christmas weekend where it performed decently, taking in $30,452 the first weekend and another $41,506 the second. Even with the so-so start, poor reviews could certainly deter some from checking this one out. Back in 2006, <em>Dreamgirls<\/em> ended its first wide weekend with $14.1 million in 852 theaters. <em>Country Song<\/em> will be lucky to earn half as much in twice as many theaters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><em>Little Fockers<\/em> and <em>True Grit<\/em> were neck and neck last weekend, but the Oscar buzz will likely be enough to finally give <em>True Grit <\/em>the lead. Like <em>Meet the Fockers<\/em>, <em>Little Fockers<\/em> could take a 30% hit in week three, leaving it with about $17 million. As for <em>True Grit<\/em>, that loss will be less, perhaps only 25%, giving it $18 million. From there, it should be more of the same, with <em>Black Swan<\/em> and <em>The King\u2019s Speech<\/em> each likely gaining a spot thanks to their Oscar buzz and some additional screens.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><em>TRON: Legacy<\/em> will continue to drop, probably by 40% this time around, leaving it with about $11 million. As for <em>Yogi Bear<\/em>, while it did see a nice 50% boost last weekend, the holidays are over, the kids are back in school and it could plummet \u2013 big time. Should it drop 50%, <em>Yogi Bear<\/em> will earn about $6 million in week four, putting it just behind <em>Country Strong<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><em>The Fighter<\/em> should only take a minor 30% tumble as should <em>Black Swan<\/em>. It should be a tight fight between those two and another Oscar potential, <em>The King\u2019s Speech<\/em>, all of which could earn $5 or $6 million. The last spot will be a toss-up between <em>Tangled<\/em> and <em>The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader<\/em>, but <em>Narnia<\/em>, which has been on a surprisingly slow decline, will likely be the one to prevail.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>Shockya.com Predictions:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>1. True Grit<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>2. Little Fockers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>3. Season of the Witch<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>4. TRON: Legacy<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>5. Country Song <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>6. Yogi Bear<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>7. The Fighter<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>8. Black Swan <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>9. The King\u2019s Speech<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>10. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">By Perri Nemiroff (via <a href=\"http:\/\/boxofficemojo.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Box Office Mojo<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">\n<figure id=\"attachment_39391\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-39391\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/true-grit-image-10392.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-39391 \" title=\"TrueGrit\" src=\"http:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/true-grit-image-10392.jpg\" alt=\"True Grit\" width=\"300\" height=\"191\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/true-grit-image-10392.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/true-grit-image-10392-300x191.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-39391\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">True Grit<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><!--EndFragment--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It doesn&#8217;t look as though the year will start off with a bang considering Season of the Witch is the sole new wide release. If that one starts off anything like Cage&#8217;s last supernatural film, The Sorcerer&#8217;s Apprentice, we&#8217;re looking at a mere $17 million opening. However, that film had the benefit of a few [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,1],"tags":[13619,11851,13890,10538,2211,12188,13373,13661,10803,9143,8934],"class_list":["post-39390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-movies","category-news-release","tag-black-swan","tag-box-office","tag-country-song","tag-little-fockers","tag-season-of-the-witch","tag-the-chronicles-of-narnia-the-voyage-of-the-dawn-treader","tag-the-fighter","tag-the-kings-speech","tag-tron-legacy","tag-true-grit","tag-yogi-bear"],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Box Office Forecast: True Grit Could Finally Come Out On Top<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"It doesn&#039;t look as though the year will start off with a bang considering Season of the Witch is the sole new wide release. 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