{"id":41242,"date":"2011-02-03T13:46:09","date_gmt":"2011-02-03T20:46:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/?p=41242"},"modified":"2011-02-03T13:46:35","modified_gmt":"2011-02-03T20:46:35","slug":"box-office-predictions-cave-divers-are-no-match-for-a-creepy-college-roommate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/2011\/02\/03\/box-office-predictions-cave-divers-are-no-match-for-a-creepy-college-roommate\/","title":{"rendered":"Box Office Predictions: Cave Divers Are No Match For A Creepy College Roommate"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

Ready for a good scare this weekend? I hope so because there are two potentially terrifying wide releases hitting theaters this weekend, one about a violent college roommate and another about a team of trapped cave divers. Of the two, you’d think Sanctum<\/em> would have the edge, not just because it’ll benefit from 3D ticket prices, but also because it’s debuting in more theaters and is attracting quite a bit of attention for having James Cameron as a producer. Of Cameron’s wide releases, he’s never opened with less than $25.9 million and that was for True Lies<\/em> back in 1994. A somewhat reasonable comparison here could be 2008’s Jumper<\/em>. That one also hit in February, but began its run in many more theaters. We could also consider another underwater adventure, the May 2006 release, Poseidon<\/em>, which took in $22.2 million to start, but still, in the end, the fact that the box office is generally down the first week of February could get the better of Sanctum<\/em> making it one of Cameron\u2019s lowest openings with just $15 million.<\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

Now for our second new wide release, The Roommate<\/em>. The standard low-budget horror movie model guarantees this film at least $20 million. About this time in 2009, Friday the 13th<\/sup><\/em> opened big with $40.6 million, but that one opened in 3,105 theaters as compared to The Roommate<\/em>\u2019s 2,400. A more comparable comparison could be last year\u2019s The Crazies<\/em>, which had a similar release and took in $16.1 million in week one. Then again, one thing The Roommate<\/em> has going for it that The Crazies<\/em> didn\u2019t is a few famous faces ideal for attracting the under-30 crowd, Minka Kelly, Leighton Meester and Cam Gigandet. To add to its appeal, the subject matter is absolutely perfect for the target age range. It\u2019s about a college freshman who gets paired with a psychopath as a roommate. Hopefully nobody can really<\/em> relate to this situation, but on some level, quite a few of us certainly can. Considering the weak numbers at the box office and some slightly related competition, The Roommate <\/em>should come in with about $20 million for a winning weekend.<\/p>\n

\n

Considering the painfully weak performances by last weekend\u2019s newcomers, it looks as though both The Rite<\/em> and The Mechanic<\/em> could suffer nasty hits, leaving No Strings Attached <\/em>in the third position. The Rite<\/em> opened a bit lower than Legion<\/em>, which dropped a whopping 59% in week two last year. The Rite <\/em>shouldn\u2019t take as hard a fall, but it certainly could lose 50% of its earnings, leaving it with just $8 million. As for The Mechanic<\/em>, if that continues on a slightly stronger path than Faster<\/em>, it\u2019s looking at a 45% fall, with $6 million for week two. Considering No Strings Attached<\/em> held on pretty well in its second week and is still without romantic comedy competition, let\u2019s stick with that 31% drop and give it $9 million for its third week.<\/p>\n

\n

Now we arrive at our Oscar potentials, which are proving to be much stronger than expected. I\u2019m not making the same mistake twice and doubting The King\u2019s Speech<\/em>\u2019s ability to pull in some serious cash, so I\u2019m saying this one barely drops, perhaps no more than 5% and earns another $10 million. However, True Grit<\/em> could falter a bit, dropping 20%, leaving it with about $6 million. Unfortunately, that doesn\u2019t look like it\u2019ll be enough to trump The Green Hornet<\/em>. That one is on its way down at a much steeper decline, but should still only fall about 35%, which would leave it with at least $7 million.<\/p>\n

\n

The final two spots will likely go to the films with the longer legs courtesy of awards season, Black Swan <\/em>and The Fighter<\/em>. Neither have the staying power of The King\u2019s Speech<\/em>, but are certainly fizzling out at a snail\u2019s pace, which means the fast-falling The Dilemma<\/em> should slide right by them. After a 12.8% week nine drop, Black Swan<\/em> could take a 20% hit this time around giving it a $4 million haul. The Fighter<\/em> could lose about 15%, which would give it $3 million for its ninth week.<\/p>\n

\n

Shockya.com Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. The Roommate<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

2. Sanctum<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

3. The King\u2019s Speech<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

4. No Strings Attached<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

5. The Rite<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

6. The Green Hornet<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

7. True Grit<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

8. The Mechanic<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

9. Black Swan<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

10. The Fighter<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo<\/a>)<\/p>\n

\n

\"The<\/a>
The Roommate<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ready for a good scare this weekend? I hope so because there are two potentially terrifying wide releases hitting theaters this weekend, one about a violent college roommate and another about a team of trapped cave divers. Of the two, you’d think Sanctum would have the edge, not just because it’ll benefit from 3D ticket […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,1],"tags":[13619,11851,14016,14112,13373,7553,13661,10506,14032,14113,9143],"class_list":["post-41242","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-movies","category-news-release","tag-black-swan","tag-box-office","tag-no-strings-attached","tag-sanctum","tag-the-fighter","tag-the-green-hornet","tag-the-kings-speech","tag-the-mechanic","tag-the-rite","tag-the-roommate","tag-true-grit"],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"\nBox Office Predictions: Cave Divers Are No Match For A Creepy College Roommate<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ready for a good scare this weekend? 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