{"id":68198,"date":"2011-09-22T13:17:29","date_gmt":"2011-09-22T20:17:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/?p=68198"},"modified":"2011-09-22T13:18:13","modified_gmt":"2011-09-22T20:18:13","slug":"box-office-predictions-moneyball-works-for-baseball-and-the-box-office","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/2011\/09\/22\/box-office-predictions-moneyball-works-for-baseball-and-the-box-office\/","title":{"rendered":"Box Office Predictions: Moneyball Works For Baseball And The Box Office"},"content":{"rendered":"

With last week’s newcomers underperforming big time, save for The Lion King (in 3D) <\/I>, these four new wide releases will all have a chance at snagging a top spot. Moneyball<\/I> is likely the one to watch as not only does it star Brad Pitt, but it’s rocking some stellar reviews. Will this be the next The Blind Side<\/I>? Probably not, but Moneyball<\/I> should have no trouble matching another Aaron Sorkin film, The Social Network<\/I>. Should that be the case, Moneyball<\/I> could wrap its first weekend out with about $22 million.<\/p>\n

While Taylor Lautner isn’t heading towards Twilight<\/I>-like earnings with Abduction<\/I>, the film might fall between I Am Number Four<\/I>‘s $20 million start and Surrogates<\/I> $15 million opening with about $17 million. Dolphin Tale<\/I> could flounder a bit courtesy of a Lion King ripple effect in the kid’s department, but it should be able to match another ocean drama, Soul Surfer<\/I>. If Dolphin Tale<\/I> also posts a $4,789 per theater average, it’ll kick off its run with about $15 million. Last up for wide releases is Killer Elite<\/I>, an action thriller that boasts an all-star cast, but might be overshadowed by the power of both Taylor Lautner and Brad Pitt. Even with Robert DeNiro and Clive Owen, Killer Elite<\/I> could wind up being another The Mechanic<\/I> for Jason Statham and start out with just $11 million.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s tough to predict where Lion King<\/I> will end up as nobody expected it to open with $30 million, let alone snag the top spot. Clearly there\u2019s interest in revisiting a pastime favorite or introducing a new crop of kids to the beloved Disney animation, so Lion King<\/I> should hold on rather strong in week two. It might only fall about 35% and add another $19 million to its pot. While Contagion<\/I> enjoyed a modest week one to two fall, with four new wide releases entering the race, the week two to three drop could be a bit steeper, perhaps as much as 50%. Should that be the case, Contagion<\/I> will take another $8 million. Drive<\/I> could come and go faster than it deserves. After a modest start, the Ryan Gosling starrer could lose as much as half of its week one earnings, giving it another $6 million for round two.<\/p>\n

The Help<\/I> has yet to drop more than 40% in a single weekend and certainly won\u2019t start now. Should it lose 35% of its week six profits it\u2019ll take $4 million this time around. In true horror movie fashion, Straw Dogs<\/I> could be approaching a 60% loss. With zero romantic comedies entering the ring, that steep drop could be just enough for I Don\u2019t Know How She Does It<\/I> to snag the ninth position with a 45% drop and $2.5 million, leaving Straw Dogs<\/I> in tenth with its $2 million intake.<\/p>\n

Shockya.com Predictions<\/p>\n

1. Moneyball<\/p>\n

2. Lion King (in 3D)<\/p>\n

3. Abduction<\/p>\n

4. Dolphin Tale<\/p>\n

5. Killer Elite<\/p>\n

6. Contagion<\/p>\n

7. Drive<\/p>\n

8. The Help<\/p>\n

9. I Don\u2019t Know How She Does It<\/p>\n

10. Straw Dogs<\/B><\/p>\n

By Perri Nemiroff<\/a> (via Box Office Mojo<\/a>)<\/p>\n

\"Moneyball\"<\/a>
Moneyball<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

With last week’s newcomers underperforming big time, save for The Lion King (in 3D) , these four new wide releases will all have a chance at snagging a top spot. Moneyball is likely the one to watch as not only does it star Brad Pitt, but it’s rocking some stellar reviews. Will this be the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,1],"tags":[12643,11851,14539,14330,13710,13455,20131,17078,20309,18077,9824,10900],"class_list":["post-68198","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-movies","category-news-release","tag-abduction","tag-box-office","tag-box-office-predictions","tag-contagion","tag-dolphin-tale","tag-drive","tag-i-dont-know-how-she-does-it","tag-killer-elite","tag-lion-king","tag-moneyball","tag-straw-dogs","tag-the-help"],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"\nBox 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