{"id":78961,"date":"2011-12-15T18:07:22","date_gmt":"2011-12-16T01:07:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/?p=78961"},"modified":"2011-12-15T18:08:08","modified_gmt":"2011-12-16T01:08:08","slug":"box-office-predictions-sherlock-holmes-to-solve-the-case-of-the-disappearing-box-office-profits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/2011\/12\/15\/box-office-predictions-sherlock-holmes-to-solve-the-case-of-the-disappearing-box-office-profits\/","title":{"rendered":"Box Office Predictions: Sherlock Holmes To Solve The Case Of The Disappearing Box Office Profits"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Could this finally be the weekend the box office creeps out of the gutter? Yup, it looks like the time has come. <I>Sherlock Holmes<\/I> and the first two <I>Alvin and the Chipmunks<\/I> movies were all big moneymakers and their predecessors are poised to follow in their footsteps, albeit with slight dips. The first <I>Sherlock Holmes<\/I> opened with a whopping $62.3 million, but <I>Game of Shadows<\/I> is on track to post a number more comparable to <I>National Treasure: Book of Secrets<\/I>, about $44 million. Similarly, <I>Alvin and the Chipmunks<\/I> and <I>Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel<\/I> started their runs with $44.3 million and $48.9 million respectively, but <I>Chipwrecked<\/I> might have trouble cracking the $40 million mark and just take $35 million.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve also got another big release \u2013 kind of. Rather than start its run with a bang, <I>Mission: Impossible &#8211; Ghost Protocol<\/I> is going for the slow burn, starting in just 400 theaters with a wide expansion due next weekend. So, how much will it make at those 400 locations? With the added boost of that prologue for <I>The Dark Knight Rises<\/I> in 100 theaters, <I>Ghost Protocol<\/I> could post $16,000 per location, giving it $6.5 million in total. Making a similar move (but in this film\u2019s case, a more traditional one), <I>Young Adult<\/I> is due to expand to 986 theaters. Its run began in eight locations with a stellar $38,783 per theater average and while that number will certainly drop drastically, it still could hover around $8,000, giving <I>Young Adult<\/I> another $7.5 million.<\/p>\n<p>The only good thing about <I>New Year\u2019s Eve<\/I> coming nowhere close to <I>Valentine\u2019s Day<\/I>\u2019s $56.3 million opening? It\u2019s got far less to lose. Thanks to the lack of competition in the romantic comedy department, <I>New Year\u2019s Eve<\/I> should only fall about 25% and take in a much-needed $8 million. Similarly, <I>The Sitter<\/I> finds itself without any direct new competition and should be able to snag another $6.5 million.<\/p>\n<p>As for <I>The Twilight Saga: Breaking \u2013 Dawn Part 1<\/I>, there are no signs of its landslide slowing down, the film likely losing 50% of its profits yet again, giving it $4 million for week five. <I>The Muppets<\/I>, on the other hand, might have the staying power to overcome the vampires. Should <I>The Muppets<\/I>\u2019 week three earnings get slashed by 35%, it\u2019ll wrap week four with about $4.5 million. But, the question is, will that be enough to keep the surprisingly strong <I>Arthur Christmas<\/I> from topping both <I>The Muppets<\/I> and <I>Breaking Dawn<\/I>? After falling 38.7% from week one to two and then just 12% from week two to three, <I>Arthur Christmas<\/I> could see its percent change rise again thanks to <I>Chipwrecked<\/I>, but probably only to about 35%. However, that still won\u2019t be enough to steal the seventh position from <I>The Muppets<\/I>. Lastly, <I>Hugo<\/I>\u2019s been enjoying a slow decline as well, but should its per theater average get slashed in half yet again, it\u2019ll only take $3 million to the bank this time around. <\/p>\n<p><B>Shockya.com Predictions<\/p>\n<p>1. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows<\/p>\n<p>2. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked<\/p>\n<p>3. New Year\u2019s Eve<\/p>\n<p>4. Young Adult<\/p>\n<p>5. Mission: Impossible \u2013 Ghost Protocol<\/p>\n<p>6. The Sitter<\/p>\n<p>7. The Muppets<\/p>\n<p>8. Arthur Christmas<\/p>\n<p>9. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn \u2013 Part 1<\/p>\n<p>10. Hugo<\/B><\/p>\n<p>By <a href=https:\/\/twitter.com\/#!\/pnemiroff>Perri Nemiroff<\/a> (via <a href=http:\/\/boxofficemojo.com\/>Box Office Mojo<\/a>)<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_78962\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-78962\" style=\"width: 500px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/SherlockHolmesAGameOfShadows.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/SherlockHolmesAGameOfShadows.jpg\" alt=\"Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows\" title=\"SherlockHolmesAGameOfShadows\" width=\"500\" height=\"333\" class=\"size-full wp-image-78962\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/SherlockHolmesAGameOfShadows.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/SherlockHolmesAGameOfShadows-300x199.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-78962\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Could this finally be the weekend the box office creeps out of the gutter? Yup, it looks like the time has come. Sherlock Holmes and the first two Alvin and the Chipmunks movies were all big moneymakers and their predecessors are poised to follow in their footsteps, albeit with slight dips. The first Sherlock Holmes [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,1],"tags":[2666,21707,20835,11851,14539,18383,17903,18857,7248,18221,16001,13958,18452,16101],"class_list":["post-78961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-movies","category-news-release","tag-alvin-and-the-chipmunks","tag-alvin-and-the-chipmunks-chipwrecked","tag-arthur-christmas","tag-box-office","tag-box-office-predictions","tag-hugo","tag-mission-impossible--ghost-protocol","tag-new-years-eve","tag-sherlock-holmes","tag-sherlock-holmes-a-game-of-shadows","tag-the-muppets","tag-the-sitter","tag-the-twilight-saga-breaking-dawn--part-1","tag-young-adult"],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Box Office Predictions: Sherlock Holmes To Solve The Case Of The Disappearing Box Office Profits<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Could this finally be the weekend the box office creeps out of the gutter? Yup, it looks like the time has come. Sherlock Holmes and the first two Alvin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/2011\/12\/15\/box-office-predictions-sherlock-holmes-to-solve-the-case-of-the-disappearing-box-office-profits\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Box Office Predictions: Sherlock Holmes To Solve The Case Of The Disappearing Box Office Profits\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Could this finally be the weekend the box office creeps out of the gutter? Yup, it looks like the time has come. 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