{"id":84146,"date":"2012-02-02T20:01:33","date_gmt":"2012-02-03T03:01:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/?p=84146"},"modified":"2012-02-02T20:02:19","modified_gmt":"2012-02-03T03:02:19","slug":"box-office-predictions-found-footage-and-superpower-combo-could-help-chronicle-win-the-weekend","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shockya.com\/news\/2012\/02\/02\/box-office-predictions-found-footage-and-superpower-combo-could-help-chronicle-win-the-weekend\/","title":{"rendered":"Box Office Predictions: Found Footage And Superpower Combo Could Help Chronicle Win The Weekend"},"content":{"rendered":"

It’s always nice to ring in a new month, but sadly, the first weekend in February tends to mark a bit of a dip at the box office. Last year The Roommate<\/I> led the pack with only $15 million and Sanctum<\/I> trailed behind with just under $9.5 million and the first weekend of February in 2010 was down 9.3%. Can Chronicle<\/I>, Big Miracle<\/I> and The Woman in Black<\/I> return some clout to February weekend one?<\/p>\n

The Woman in Black<\/I> is getting the widest release and Daniel Radcliffe is certainly a draw, but the fact that The Woman in Black<\/I> is a bit of an offbeat horror flick, a British ghost story rather than an American slasher flick, could knock down its numbers a bit. The Woman in Black<\/I> could wind up with a week one haul similar to that of The Eye<\/I>, about $12 million. Chronicle<\/I> is the next widest release and my money is on that one, both in terms of quality and betting that it’ll be the weekend\u2019s big winner. After The Devil Inside<\/I> scored a whopping $33.7 million opening weekend and superhero film after superhero film earns a fair share, there’s no reason to think this combo won’t strike a chord with moviegoers. Chronicle<\/I> could be heading towards a Kick-Ass<\/I>-sized opening of about $20 million. Last up for the newbies is Big Miracle<\/I> and it could wind up being a surprise hit like Dolphin Tale<\/I> or a big bust. Thanks to a rather weak marketing campaign, I’m betting on the latter, perhaps opening with just $9 million like We Bought a Zoo<\/I>.<\/p>\n

Over in old timer territory we\u2019ve got The Grey<\/I>, which is actually right on track with a 2011 Liam Neeson release, Unknown<\/I>. Should The Grey<\/I> also take a 42.5% week two hit, it\u2019ll come in with another $11 million. Underworld: Awakening<\/I> didn\u2019t fall as hard as Evolution in its second weekend out, but it also didn\u2019t make as much as Evolution<\/I> did its first weekend; the less you climb, the less room you have to fall. At this point, the two could level out, putting Awakening<\/I> on track for a 50% drop and $6 million week-three intake.<\/p>\n

One for the Money<\/I> opened stronger than expected, but even with no new romantic comedies entering the race, it could take a 50% week two hit, similar to When in Rome<\/I>. A drop like that would leave it with just about $5.5 million and could give Red Tails<\/I> the opportunity to surpass it. Red Tails<\/I> lost 44.8% from week one to two, but that should level out a bit to about 40%, which would let it take another $6 million to the bank. After a lackluster start, things won\u2019t get much better for Man on a Ledge<\/I>. In fact, it could plummet 50% and only make enough to snag the last spot on the top ten, about $4 million.<\/p>\n

Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close<\/I> has been underperforming right from the start, but with the Academy Awards right around the corner, at least its percent change shouldn\u2019t be too steep. If it loses 30% of its profits again, it\u2019ll wrap weekend seven with $4.5 million. More Oscar nominations mean more money at the box office? Not necessarily, but only a week after getting its wide release boost, The Descendants<\/I> should have far more steam, perhaps only dropping about 15% for a $5.5 million week 12 intake.<\/p>\n

Shockya.com Predictions<\/p>\n

1. Chronicle<\/p>\n

2. The Woman in Black<\/p>\n

3. The Grey<\/p>\n

4. Big Miracle <\/p>\n

5. Underworld: Awakening<\/p>\n

6. Red Tails<\/p>\n

7. One For the Money<\/p>\n

8. The Descendants<\/p>\n

9. Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close<\/p>\n

10. Man on a Ledge<\/B><\/p>\n

By Perri Nemiroff<\/a> (via Box Office Mojo<\/a>)<\/p>\n

\"Chronicle\"<\/a>
Chronicle<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It’s always nice to ring in a new month, but sadly, the first weekend in February tends to mark a bit of a dip at the box office. Last year The Roommate led the pack with only $15 million and Sanctum trailed behind with just under $9.5 million and the first weekend of February in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,1],"tags":[20394,11851,14539,22957,20589,20393,12091,18858,15830,22334,11288,18381],"class_list":["post-84146","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-movies","category-news-release","tag-big-miracle","tag-box-office","tag-box-office-predictions","tag-chronicle","tag-extremely-loud-incredibly-close","tag-man-on-a-ledge","tag-one-for-the-money","tag-red-tails","tag-the-descendants","tag-the-grey","tag-the-woman-in-black","tag-underworld-awakening"],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"\nBox Office Predictions: Found Footage And Superpower Combo Could Help Chronicle Win The Weekend<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"It's always nice to ring in a new month, but sadly, the first weekend in February tends to mark a bit of a dip at the box office. 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