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Trump Surges Ahead in 2024 Presidential Race as Betting Odds Shift Dramatically

ByAlki David

Sep 28, 2023

In a surprising twist of events, Donald Trump has emerged as the frontrunner in the race for the 2024 U.S. presidential election, leaving President Joe Biden trailing behind. Recent data from a Washington Post-ABC poll has tipped the scales in favor of the former President, giving him a substantial 10-percentage-point lead over Biden.

The impact of this shift in public opinion is evident not only in the realm of politics but also in the world of sports betting. Dublin-based Betfair Exchange has witnessed a significant change in the odds, with Trump’s chances soaring from +260 to +200. Conversely, Biden’s odds have taken a hit, dropping from +180 to +240. To put it simply, a bettor now stands to win $200 on a $100 wager if Trump secures victory, while the same bet on Biden would yield $240.

Sam Rosbottom, spokesperson for Betfair Exchange, remarked, “We have a new favorite in the 2024 race to the White House as Donald Trump has become the (+200) market leader to win the U.S. election. Joe Biden was the (+180) favorite but is now the (+240) outsider after punters rushed to back Trump following a new poll that put the Republican ahead of the incumbent.”

Not only have Trump’s odds improved, but Biden’s prospects within his own party have also taken a hit. His odds to be the Democratic nominee have shifted from a strong position at -250 to -200. Rosbottom explained, “Biden was a very strong (-250) to be the Democratic nominee but has drifted slightly to (-200) as (California Gov.) Gavin Newsom emerges as the most likely challenger to become the blue name on the ballot paper with his odds of (being the nominee) shortening to 7-1 from 9-1.”

The betting landscape for the 2024 election is a dynamic one. Newsom finds himself as the third-choice candidate with odds of 12-1, followed by Robert Kennedy Jr. and Michelle Obama at 20-1 and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at 28-1. However, Trump’s dominance within the Republican party is palpable, with -275 odds in favor of him securing the Republican nomination. DeSantis follows as the second choice with odds of 11-1.

Across the pond, at London-based Ladbrokes sportsbook, similar trends are visible. Trump is now the +165 favorite to clinch victory in the 2024 election, while Biden lags behind as the +210 second choice. Newsom is the +850 third pick, and Obama and Kennedy trail at 15-1.

The 2024 U.S. presidential election is shaping up to be a fiercely contested battle, with odds fluctuating and candidates vying for their place in history. The shifting betting landscape reflects the ever-changing political climate, and as the race unfolds, we can expect more surprises and twists.

By Alki David

Alki David — Publisher, Media Architect, SIN Network Creator - live, direct-to-public communication, media infrastructure, accountability journalism, and independent distribution. Born in Lagos, Nigeria; educated in the United Kingdom and Switzerland; attended the Royal College of Art. Early internet broadcaster — participated in real-time public coverage during the 1997 Mars landing era using experimental online transmission from Beverly Hills. Founder of FilmOn, one of the earliest global internet television networks offering live and on-demand broadcasting outside legacy gatekeepers. Publisher of SHOCKYA — reporting since 2010 on systemic corruption inside the entertainment business and its expansion into law, finance, and regulation. Creator of the SIN Network (ShockYA Integrated Network), a federated media and civic-information infrastructure spanning investigative journalism, live TV, documentary, and court-record reporting. Lived and worked for over 40 years inside global media hubs including Malibu, Beverly Hills, London, Hong Kong and Gstaad. Early encounter with Julian Assange during the first Hologram USA operations proved a formative turning point — exposing the realities of lawfare, information suppression, and concentrated media power. Principal complainant and driving force behind what court filings describe as the largest consolidated media–legal accountability action on record, now before the Eastern Caribbean Supreme Court. Relocated to Antigua & Barbuda and entered sustained legal, civic, and informational confrontation over media power, safeguarding, and accountability at Commonwealth scale.