We’ve got a lot of new items hitting theaters this weekend. Of the four, Final Destination 5 will undoubtedly come out on top. Rocking more positive reviews than one would expect and a devoted fan base, the fifth installment looks to pull in at least as much as the fourth film, but likely a little more, perhaps about $30 million. Comedies haven’t faired too well recently, but there’s a chance the action element will give 30 Minutes or Less a bit of a boost. Odds are it won’t make nearly as much as Sony’s summer 2010 action/comedy release, The Other Guys, but it could be on par with Pineapple Express and come in with about $21 million.

As for The Help, I’ve got a bit of an edge predicting that one as it enjoyed an early Wednesday release. It managed to pull in about $5.5 million on Wednesday, so, should that number hold steady, The Help could be heading towards a $15 million opening weekend. Lastly, we’ve got Fox’s Glee the 3D Concert Movie hitting 2,040 theaters. Sure, the show’s got a following, but it’s likely only a fraction of the size of Justin Bieber’s. In fact, the Glee movie won’t come anywhere close to Never Say Never’s $9,505 per theater average, maybe only earning as much as a film like Fame and posting about $7 million by the end of the weekend.

As for the vets, Rise of the Planet of the Apes should have no trouble holding on strong as it’s got zero in-genre competition and is being rewarded with an additional 43 theaters. Should Rise of the Planet of the Apes have District 9-sized staying power, it’ll lose about half of its week one profits, giving it about $27 million this time around. With zero family fare arriving, The Smurfs could very well maintain its slow decline, losing another 45% and leaving it with $11 million for week three. On the other hand, Cowboys & Aliens will likely continue its far faster decline, perhaps losing as much as 60% courtesy of Final Destination 5’s grand entrance. Should that be the case, Cowboys & Aliens is looking at a $6 million week three haul.

The final two positions on the top ten could have been tough calls as last week we had four films hovering around the $12/$13 million mark, but considering both Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 and Crazy, Stupid, Love are losing quite a few theaters this weekend, The Change-Up and Captain America: The First Avenger should be able to hold on another week. Should both lose a little more than half their profits, The Change-Up will just edge out Captain America’s $6 million intake, and perhaps Cowboys & Aliens too, with about $6.5 million.

Shockya.com Predictions

1. Final Destination 5

2. Rise of the Planet of the Apes

4. 30 Minutes or Less

5. The Help

6. The Smurfs

7. Glee the 3D Concert Movie

8. The Change-Up

9. Cowboys & Aliens

10. Captain America: The First Avenger

By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)

Final Destination 5
Final Destination 5

Facebook Comments

By Perri Nemiroff

Film producer and director best known for her work in movies such as FaceTime, Trevor, and The Professor. She has worked as an online movie blogger and reporter for sites such as CinemaBlend.com, ComingSoon.net, Shockya, and MTV's Movies Blog.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *