With just one new wide release, things are rather tame this weekend, and that could lead to an even bigger opening for The Hunger Games next weekend. But for now, we’re just looking at 21 Jump Street. Comedies tend to have a tough time this time of year. In fact, Paul was the only wide release comedy to hit last March and it only took $13 million its first weekend out. Then again, that one had some competition. With nothing but the box office veterans in its way, 21 Jump Street could accumulate as much as Cop Out, about $18 million.

As for those veterans, Dr. Seuss’ The Lorax will undoubtedly lead the pack again and quite possibly trump 21 Jump Street too, falling about 35% and taking in another $25 million. As for John Carter, it could see a Battle: Los Angeles-sized week two drop and lose 55% of its opening earnings, leaving it with just $14 million. Thanks to 21 Jump Street moving into the crude humor zone, Project X could be in for another 47% drop, giving it $6 million for weekend three. Act of Valor, on the other hand, might see a lesser blow, falling just 40% and posting a $4 million week four haul.

Thanks to the typical weekend two 50% drop most horror films endure, A Thousand Words might hold on to the sixth position. Should it lose 40% of its opening earnings, it’ll post about $3.5 million while Silent House will take just over $3 million. Safe House looks to continues its impressively modest decline, perhaps only dropping 40% and remaining in the top ten even after six weeks with another $2.5 million.

After a $2 million weekend at 369 theaters, Friends with Kids might have a chance at cracking the top ten thanks to its 271 theater boost. Should it post a $3,000 per theater average, it’ll take another $2 million and the ninth spot. The last position will be a battle between romance movies, The Vow and This Means War. Last weekend, the former topped the latter, but the latter had the lesser percent change. With The Vow losing 303 theaters this weekend and This Means War only 289, my money is on This Means War to hold slightly stronger.

Shockya.com Predictions

1. Dr. Seuss’ The Lorax

2. 21 Jump Street

3. John Carter

4. Project X

5. Act of Valor

6. A Thousand Words

7. Silent House

8. Safe House

9. Friends with Kids

10. This Means War

By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)

The Lorax
The Lorax

By Perri Nemiroff

Film producer and director best known for her work in movies such as FaceTime, Trevor, and The Professor. She has worked as an online movie blogger and reporter for sites such as CinemaBlend.com, ComingSoon.net, Shockya, and MTV's Movies Blog.

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