Will we get a new top earner at the box office? Most certainly. With zero wide release competition, Snow White and the Huntsman should have no trouble posting a $10,500 per theater average for a solid $40 million start, similar to 2010’s The Last Airbender.
While Men in Black 3 will certainly stay on top of The Avengers, the gap will close. Should Men in Black‘s weekend one profits get slashed in half and The Avengers only lose 40%, the former will post $27 million while the latter will take $22 million. Battleship will lag far behind, losing 50% in the move from weekend two to three, leaving it with just $6 million. The Dictator is heading straight towards a 50% slashing as well, giving it only $4.5 million for its fourth weekend out.
Chernobyl Diaries won’t fare well either and might even be on its way to a drop that frequents the horror genre, a whopping 60%. Should that be the case, it’ll only earn $3 million its second week out, letting Dark Shadows, What to Expect When You’re Expecting and The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel pass it right by. In fact, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel might trump Dark Shadows and What to Expect When You’re Expecting, too. It’s enjoying a stellar run, upping its profits from week to week and while that may not be the case this time around, should its $5,177 per theater average fall to $4,000, it’ll still post just over $5 million.
On the other hand, both Dark Shadows and What to Expect When You’re Expecting look to drop 45%, putting them at 7th with $4.5 million and 8th with $4.2 million respectively. Lastly, The Hunger Games has enjoyed a ten-week run in the top ten, but #11 will undoubtedly be its last. Just as it approaches the $400 million mark at the domestic box office, The Hunger Games will have a $1 million 11th weekend out.
Shockya.com Predictions
1. Snow White and the Huntsman
2. Men in Black 3
3. The Avengers
4. Battleship
5. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
6. The Dictator
7. Dark Shadows
8. What to Expect When You’re Expecting
9. Chernobyl Diaries
10. The Hunger Games
By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)
