A wimpy kid vs. a futuristic spy, who’s going to win the weekend? While “Total Recall” does look to have the edge, the race could be closer than you think. Should “Total Recall” follow in the footsteps of the 2008 release, “Eagle Eye,” it’s on its way to a $30 million start. “Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days” is no $30 million movie, but should it make a $1 million leap like we saw when the franchise went from film one to two, the third installment could come in with about $24 million.
Where will “The Dark Knight Rises” fall? Should it continue to drop at a faster pace than “The Dark Knight,” it’s looking at a 50% weekend three loss for another $30 million, putting it right in line with “Total Recall” for that top spot. “Ice Age: Continental Drift” enjoyed a minimal decline from weekend two to three, but thanks to “Wimpy Kid,” it’ll find itself closer to that weekend one to two loss, perhaps dropping by 50% for $7 million.
After rough starts, both “The Watch” and “Step Up Revolution” could be on the way to swift exits. Should both see their opening weekend profits slashed in half, “The Watch” will take just $6.5 million and “Step Up Revolution” will only earn another $6 million. “Ted,” on the other hand, continues to stretch its incredibly long legs, possibly only dropping 30% for a weekend six total of $5 million. After a strong fourth weekend out, “The Amazing Spider-Man” should continue to perform rather well, perhaps losing just 40% of its weekend four profits for a $4 million fifth weekend out.
Also on a slow decline, “Brave” should have no trouble securing the ninth position with a 40% loss and another $2.5 million while “Magic Mike” will wrap things up with a 40% and $1.5 million for its sixth weekend out.
Shockya.com Predictions
1. The Dark Knight Rises
2. Total Recall
3. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days
4. Ice Age: Continental Drift
5. The Watch
6. Step Up Revolution
7. Ted
8. The Amazing Spider-Man
9. Brave
10. Magic Mike
By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)
