We’ve got a potential heavy hitter on the way. “Need for Speed” is due out in 3,115 theaters this weekend and, odds are, it’s gunning for an “Olympus Has Fallen”-sized opening and thanks to the lack of new competition, it’s got a shot at matching its $30 million weekend one haul. The only other new wide release is “Tyler Perry’s The Single Moms Club” and considering Tyler Perry is in the midst of a rough run with only one of three of his 2013 movies opening above the $20 million mark, it’s unlikely “The Single Moms Club” will trump “Confessions of a Marriage Counselor.” However, it could wind up matching it and if that’s the case, it’ll kick off its run with a solid $20 million.
Even though “300: Rise of An Empire” won last weekend with a $45 million haul, it could wind up taking a hit similar to “The Bourne Legacy” and lose at least half of its opening profits. Should that be the case, it’ll come in just behind “Need for Speed” with another $22 million. Last weekend’s #2, “Mr. Peabody & Sherman” could be in good shape courtesy of its strong opening per theater average and the fact that there’s no new family friendly fare entering the race. If it’s on a path similar to that of “Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2,” it could take a 40% hit, giving it another $19 million to add to its domestic total.
The fifth position on the top ten will mark a significant drop-off with “Non-Stop” trailing well behind “Peabody” after taking another 45% hit and being left with just about $9 million to take to the bank. Even though “Son of God” came out strong, it took quite the weekend one to two hit, suggesting “The Lego Movie” could be able to stay on top yet again. Even if “Son of God” lessens that 59.5% hit to about 50%, $5 million will still fall short of trumping “Lego” and its possible $6.5 million weekend six haul.
It’ll be a tight race between “The Monuments Men,” “3 Days to Kill” and “Frozen” for the eighth, ninth and tenth positions, but their theater counts do hint at the potential rankings. Of the bunch, “3 Days to Kill” is losing the most, and by far. While it’s waving goodbye to 782 locations, “The Monuments Men” will only lose 407 and “Frozen” just 194. Taking those numbers into account, it’s most likely that “Frozen” will take #8 with another $2 million, “Monuments Men” will come in right behind with $1.7 million followed by “3 Days to Kill” with close to $1.5 million.
1. Need for Speed
2. 300: Rise of an Empire
3. Tyler Perry’s The Single Moms Club
4. Mr. Peabody & Sherman
6. The Lego Movie
7. Son of God
9. The Monuments Men
10. 3 Days to Kill
By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)