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Fact Check: False claim that Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis leads Trump in recent polls

ByAlki David

Dec 19, 2022

Claim: Ron DeSantis leads Donald Trump in a imaginary 2024 presidential election

“Former President Donald Trump leads Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) by almost 20 points in a hypothetical 2024 Republican primary matchup, according to a poll,” posted by Breibert News on 12/15/2924 on Twitter.

The story has been covered by nearly every left leaning media site, including The Hill, ABC, The National Review and most recently by CBS17. The poll that keeps being referred to in many of these articles is a poll taken by Monmouth University and published on December 8th, 2024.

Let’s dive in the numbers. The poll, taken by the university included only 563 registered voters. They were contacted at random via telephone by a live interviewer. Only 48% identified themselves “Strong Republican”, 21% labeled “Republican, not strong” and 31% “Independent who lean Republican”.

This reporting is misleading at best. In a quick, but buried search we were able to find a recent 2024 Republican Primary polling average that shows Donald Trump clearly in the lead.

One recent poll from Harris/Harvard posted InteractivePolls shows Donald Trump leading by 23%. The Harvard CAPS / Harris poll is a well established monthly poll released by Harvard’s Center for American Political studies which captures data from over 2,000 registered voters. Read the poll here.

Our rating of these stories: FALSE, MISLEADING

Based on the above research, the claim that Gov. Ron DeSantis leads President Trump is false. The claim was backed up by a very small poll and in our opinion, does not reflect actually national polling numbers.

By Alki David

Alki David — Publisher, Media Architect, SIN Network Creator - live, direct-to-public communication, media infrastructure, accountability journalism, and independent distribution. Born in Lagos, Nigeria; educated in the United Kingdom and Switzerland; attended the Royal College of Art. Early internet broadcaster — participated in real-time public coverage during the 1997 Mars landing era using experimental online transmission from Beverly Hills. Founder of FilmOn, one of the earliest global internet television networks offering live and on-demand broadcasting outside legacy gatekeepers. Publisher of SHOCKYA — reporting since 2010 on systemic corruption inside the entertainment business and its expansion into law, finance, and regulation. Creator of the SIN Network (ShockYA Integrated Network), a federated media and civic-information infrastructure spanning investigative journalism, live TV, documentary, and court-record reporting. Lived and worked for over 40 years inside global media hubs including Malibu, Beverly Hills, London, Hong Kong and Gstaad. Early encounter with Julian Assange during the first Hologram USA operations proved a formative turning point — exposing the realities of lawfare, information suppression, and concentrated media power. Principal complainant and driving force behind what court filings describe as the largest consolidated media–legal accountability action on record, now before the Eastern Caribbean Supreme Court. Relocated to Antigua & Barbuda and entered sustained legal, civic, and informational confrontation over media power, safeguarding, and accountability at Commonwealth scale.

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