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Joe Biden’s Polling Nightmare: Is This the Worst One-Year-Out Scenario in Decades?

ByAlki David

Dec 23, 2023

As President Joe Biden grapples with an unexpected dip in popularity, recent polls are sending shockwaves through political circles. Last Thursday’s Bloomberg/Morning Consult surveys delivered a harsh blow, revealing Biden’s struggle in crucial battleground states. The situation escalated on Tuesday with the New York Times/Siena College survey, unveiling a surprising dip in support from young voters, and even more stunningly, positioning former President Donald Trump ahead on the national stage. The RealClearPolitics average underscores Biden’s predicament, trailing Trump by 3 points.

The recent Democratic victory in November’s off-year contests initially provided a sense of optimism. However, as the euphoria fades, a genuine fear is gripping both Democratic insiders and the party’s grassroots. Biden’s current standing invites an uncomfortable comparison with historical polling data, suggesting a potentially unparalleled challenge for an incumbent president one year away from an election.

Examining past presidents in similar predicaments offers no solace, as Biden finds himself navigating the most unfavorable polling environment for an incumbent since the advent of polling in the 1930s. The severity of his situation is underscored further by the fact that this marks the most dire scenario for any Democratic presidential candidate in decades.

The panic among Democrats is not unwarranted. The urgency to address and reverse this downward trend is palpable, with the specter of an election year looming large. The outcome of the next election is not looking good for Mr. Biden.

By Alki David

Alki David — Publisher, Media Architect, SIN Network Creator - live, direct-to-public communication, media infrastructure, accountability journalism, and independent distribution. Born in Lagos, Nigeria; educated in the United Kingdom and Switzerland; attended the Royal College of Art. Early internet broadcaster — participated in real-time public coverage during the 1997 Mars landing era using experimental online transmission from Beverly Hills. Founder of FilmOn, one of the earliest global internet television networks offering live and on-demand broadcasting outside legacy gatekeepers. Publisher of SHOCKYA — reporting since 2010 on systemic corruption inside the entertainment business and its expansion into law, finance, and regulation. Creator of the SIN Network (ShockYA Integrated Network), a federated media and civic-information infrastructure spanning investigative journalism, live TV, documentary, and court-record reporting. Lived and worked for over 40 years inside global media hubs including Malibu, Beverly Hills, London, Hong Kong and Gstaad. Early encounter with Julian Assange during the first Hologram USA operations proved a formative turning point — exposing the realities of lawfare, information suppression, and concentrated media power. Principal complainant and driving force behind what court filings describe as the largest consolidated media–legal accountability action on record, now before the Eastern Caribbean Supreme Court. Relocated to Antigua & Barbuda and entered sustained legal, civic, and informational confrontation over media power, safeguarding, and accountability at Commonwealth scale.